\ud0c0\uc784 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc988 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d(Time Series Cross-Validation):<\/strong> \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc801\ud569\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c, \ud6c8\ub828 \uc138\ud2b8\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc21c\uc11c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70 \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \ud3c9\uac00 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n4. \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d \ubb38\uc81c<\/h2>\n
\uae08\uc735 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131\uc744 \uc9c0\ub2c8\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uadf8\ub300\ub85c \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc5b4\ub835\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c\ub294 \uba87 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ub2e4\ub8e8\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4.1 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ube44\uc815\uc0c1\uc131(Non-stationarity)<\/h3>\n
\uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uacbd\uc81c \uc0c1\ud669, \uc815\uce58\uc801 \uc774\uc288 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc678\ubd80 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubc1b\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ud604\uc7ac \ub610\ub294 \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc77c\ubc18\ud654 \uc131\ub2a5\uc774 \uc800\ud558\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4.2 \uc0d8\ud50c\ub9c1 \ud3b8\ud5a5(Sampling Bias)<\/h3>\n
\uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uc810\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc0d8\ud50c\ub9c1 \ud3b8\ud5a5\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\uba74 \uc2e0\ud765 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774\ub098 \uc704\uae30 \uc0c1\ud669\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud560 \uc704\ud5d8\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4.3 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04\uc801 \uc18d\uc131(Time Dependency)<\/h3>\n
\uae08\uc735 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4\uc801 \ud2b9\uc131\uc774 \uac15\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc21c\uc11c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. K-\uacb9 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc21c\uc11c\uac00 \ubb34\uc2dc\ub418\uba74 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \ud0c0\ub2f9\uc131\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5. \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ud574\uacb0\ucc45<\/h2>\n
\uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\uc810\uc744 \uadf9\ubcf5\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uba87 \uac00\uc9c0 \ud574\uacb0\ucc45\uc744 \uc81c\uc548\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5.1 \ud0c0\uc784 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc988 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9<\/h3>\n
\ud0c0\uc784 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc988 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d \uae30\ubc95\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04\uc801 \ud2b9\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5.2 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ube44\uc815\uc0c1\uc131 \uace0\ub824<\/h3>\n
\uae08\uc735 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ube44\uc815\uc0c1\uc131\uc744 \ucc98\ub9ac\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc815\uaddc\ud654(Normalization)\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ucc28\ubd84(Differencing)\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc131\uc744 \ud655\ubcf4\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5.3 \ud6c8\ub828-\uac80\uc99d \uc138\ud2b8\uc758 \uc77c\uad00\uc131 \uc720\uc9c0<\/h3>\n
\ud6c8\ub828 \uc138\ud2b8\uc640 \uac80\uc99d \uc138\ud2b8\uc758 \uc2dc\uac04 \uc21c\uc11c\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uc5ec \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \ud6c8\ub828 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc774\uc804 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\ub798 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc608\uce21\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ud2b9\uc815 \uae30\uac04\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud6c8\ub828 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5.4 \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ud3c9\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c \ud65c\uc6a9<\/h3>\n
\uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uac1d\uad00\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 RMSE(Root Mean Squared Error), MAE(Mean Absolute Error) \ub4f1\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc88b\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uae08\uc735 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc190\uc2e4 \uc704\ud5d8\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \ud2b9\uc815 \ube44\uc728 \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uc190\uc2e4\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\ub294 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud3c9\uac00 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub3c4 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uacb0\ub860<\/h2>\n
\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\uc11d \ubc0f \uc608\uce21\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc720\uc6a9\ud55c \ub3c4\uad6c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc774 \uae30\uc220\uc744 \uae08\uc735\uc5d0 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \uc5b4\ub824\uc6c0\uc774 \ub530\ub985\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc774 \uac00\uc9c0\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uc810 \ubc0f \ud574\uacb0\ucc45\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub17c\uc758\ud558\uc600\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc778 \uc801\uc6a9\uc744 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\uacfc \uac80\uc99d\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \uc78a\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
<\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc591\uc774 \ud3ed\ubc1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\uc5ec \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc774 \ud65c\ubc1c\ud788 \uc5f0\uad6c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc77c\ubc18\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\ub860\uc73c\ub85c ‘\uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d’\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131\uc0c1 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc874\uc7ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uac1c\ub150\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\uace0, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc774 \uac16\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uc810\uacfc … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 “\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28849","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-29"],"yoast_head":"\n\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/28849\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc591\uc774 \ud3ed\ubc1c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\uc5ec \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc774 \ud65c\ubc1c\ud788 \uc5f0\uad6c\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc77c\ubc18\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\ub860\uc73c\ub85c ‘\uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d’\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uae08\uc735\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131\uc0c1 \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uc874\uc7ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uac1c\ub150\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\uace0, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc774 \uac16\ub294 \ubb38\uc81c\uc810\uacfc … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 "\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c \uad50\ucc28 \uac80\uc99d\uc758 \ubb38\uc81c"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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