\uc774\ubc88 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc8fc\ub85c \uc9c0\ub3c4 \ud559\uc2b5\uc758 \ud55c \uc608\ub85c \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2e4\ub8f0 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
\n \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac1c\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc885\uc18d \ubcc0\uc218\uc640\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ud558\ub294 \uae30\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c \uc801\ud569\ud558\uba70, \uae30\ubcf8 \uc218\uc2dd\uc744 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ud45c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4:\n<\/p>\n
\nY = \u03b20 + \u03b21X1 + \u03b22X2 + ... + \u03b2nXn + \u03b5<\/code>\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n \uc5ec\uae30\uc11c Y<\/code>\ub294 \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc885\uc18d \ubcc0\uc218(\uc608: \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9), X1, X2, ..., Xn<\/code>\uc740 \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218(\uc608: \uac70\ub798\ub7c9, \uae08\ub9ac \ub4f1)\uc774\uba70, \u03b20, \u03b21, ..., \u03b2n<\/code>\uc740 \ud68c\uadc0 \uacc4\uc218, \u03b5<\/code>\ub294 \uc624\ucc28\ud56d\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n3.1 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc7a5\uc810\uacfc \ub2e8\uc810<\/h3>\n
\n \uc7a5\uc810:<\/p>\n
\n- \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \uac04\ub2e8\ud558\uace0 \ud574\uc11d\ud558\uae30 \uc26c\uc6b0\uba70, \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc2dc\uac01\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc6a9\uc774\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- \ud2b9\uc815 \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \uc885\uc18d \ubcc0\uc218\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ud30c\uc545\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
\ub2e8\uc810:<\/p>\n
\n- \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218 \uac04\uc758 \ub2e4\uc911\uacf5\uc120\uc131\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ud68c\uadc0 \uacc4\uc218\uac00 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud574\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- \ube44\uc120\ud615 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uc798 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\uacc4\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
4. \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc900\ube44<\/h2>\n
\n \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud6c8\ub828\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc801\uc808\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc81c\uacf5\ub418\uba70, \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 Yahoo Finance API\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc624\uace0, pandas \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\ub7ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
\nimport pandas as pd\nimport yfinance as yf\n\n# \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub2e4\uc6b4\ub85c\ub4dc\nticker = \"AAPL\"\ndata = yf.download(ticker, start=\"2020-01-01\", end=\"2023-01-01\")\ndata.reset_index(inplace=True)\ndata.head()\n<\/code><\/pre>\n\n \uc704\uc758 \ucf54\ub4dc\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 Apple Inc.\uc758 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc635\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac00\uc838\uc628 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ud544\ub4dc\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4: Date, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume<\/strong> \ub4f1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n4.1 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac<\/h3>\n
\n \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac \ub2e8\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uacb0\uce21\uac12 \ucc98\ub9ac, \uc774\uc0c1\uce58 \uc81c\uac70, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218 \uc0dd\uc131 \ub4f1\uc744 \uc218\ud589\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uacfc \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc885\uac00\uc758 \ube44\uc728\uc744 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud53c\ucc98\ub85c \ucd94\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
\n# \uacb0\uce21\uac12 \ucc98\ub9ac\ndata.dropna(inplace=True)\n\n# \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ud53c\ucc98 \uc0dd\uc131 (\uac70\ub798\ub7c9 \ub300\ube44 \uc8fc\uc2dd \uc885\uac00)\ndata['Volume_Close'] = data['Volume'] \/ data['Close']\n<\/code><\/pre>\n5. \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378 \ud6c8\ub828<\/h2>\n
\n \uc774\uc81c \uc900\ube44\ub41c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud6c8\ub828\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. scikit-learn \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\ub7ec\ub9ac\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
\nfrom sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split\nfrom sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression\nfrom sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error\n\n# \ub3c5\ub9bd \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \uc885\uc18d \ubcc0\uc218 \uc124\uc815\nX = data[['Open', 'High', 'Low', 'Volume_Close']]\ny = data['Close']\n\n# \ud6c8\ub828 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\ud560\nX_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)\n\n# \ubaa8\ub378 \ud6c8\ub828\nmodel = LinearRegression()\nmodel.fit(X_train, y_train)\n\n# \uc608\uce21\ny_pred = model.predict(X_test)\n\n# \uc131\ub2a5 \ud3c9\uac00\nmse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred)\nprint(f'Mean Squared Error: {mse}')\n<\/code><\/pre>\n\n \uc704 \ucf54\ub4dc\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud6c8\ub828\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc608\uce21 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud3c9\uade0 \uc81c\uacf1 \uc624\ucc28(MSE)\ub294 \uc608\uce21\uc758 \uc815\ud655\uc131\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uba70, \uac12\uc774 \ub0ae\uc744\uc218\ub85d \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc774 \uc88b\uc74c\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
6. \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5 \uac1c\ubc1c<\/h2>\n
\n \uc774\uc81c \ud6c8\ub828\ub41c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uac04\ub2e8\ud55c \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc608\uce21\ud55c \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \uac00\uaca9\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub192\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c, \ub0ae\uc744 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
\n# \ub9e4\uc218\/\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc0dd\uc131\ndata['Predicted_Close'] = model.predict(X)\n\ndata['Signal'] = 0\ndata['Signal'][1:] = np.where(data['Predicted_Close'][1:] > data['Close'][:-1], 1, -1)\n<\/code><\/pre>\n\n \uc704\uc758 \ucf54\ub4dc\ub294 \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc608\uce21 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218 \ubc0f \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub807\uac8c \uc0dd\uc131\ub41c \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\uc81c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
7. \uacb0\ub860<\/h2>\n
\n \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ucd08\uc640 \ud568\uaed8, \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0\ub294 \uac04\ub2e8\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc720\uc6a9\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uae30\ucd08\uc801\uc778 \uc774\ud574\ub97c \uac16\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud5a5\ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\uacfc \uae30\ubc95\uc744 \ud0d0\uad6c\ud558\uba70, \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud5a5\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ud574 \ubcf4\uc2e4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
\n \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uc131\uacf5\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ubaa8\ub378 \ubc0f \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc870\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uacb0\uc815\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ucd08\ub97c \ub2e4\uc9c0\uace0, \ub3c4\uc804\uc801\uc778 \ubaa9\ud45c\uc5d0 \ub3c4\uc804\ud574 \ubcf4\uc2dc\uae30 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n<\/p>\n
<\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ud604\ub300 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc740 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0, \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uac1c\ub150\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \uc608\uce21 \ubc0f \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 “\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29033","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-29"],"yoast_head":"\n\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29033\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ud604\ub300 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc740 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0, \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc5b4 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uac1c\ub150\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \uc608\uce21 \ubc0f \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 "\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378 \ub2e4\uc911 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0 \ubaa8\ub378"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29033\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"\ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" 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