{"id":29123,"date":"2024-10-27T16:16:53","date_gmt":"2024-10-27T16:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/?p=29123"},"modified":"2024-11-26T06:54:21","modified_gmt":"2024-11-26T06:54:21","slug":"%eb%a8%b8%ec%8b%a0%eb%9f%ac%eb%8b%9d-%eb%b0%8f-%eb%94%a5%eb%9f%ac%eb%8b%9d-%ec%95%8c%ea%b3%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%a6%98-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%94%a9-%ec%8b%9c%ea%b3%84%ec%97%b4-%eb%b3%80%ed%99%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29123\/","title":{"rendered":"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubcc0\ud658\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body><\/p>\n<p>\uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc790\ub3d9 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ub294 \ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(ML) \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(DL) \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc815\uad50\ud558\uace0 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc8fc\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uac1c\ub150, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubcc0\ud658 \ubc0f \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>1. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ucd08<\/h2>\n<p>\uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc815\ud615\ud654\ub41c \uaddc\uce59\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub9e4\ub9e4\ub97c \uc790\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc778\uac04\uc758 \uac10\uc815\uc744 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uace0, \uc804\uc0b0 \ucc98\ub9ac \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud574 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd, \uc678\ud658, \uc120\ubb3c \ub4f1\uc758 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\uc6a9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uace0\ube48\ub3c4 \uac70\ub798(HFT)\ubd80\ud130 \uc7a5\uae30 \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ud615\ud0dc\ub85c \uc874\uc7ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>1.1 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uc7a5\uc810<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc778\uac04\uc758 \uac10\uc815 \ubc30\uc81c: \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc774 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c \uac10\uc815\uc801 \uacb0\uc815\uc774 \uc0ac\ub77c\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uc2e0\uc18d\ud55c \uc2e4\ud589: \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc740 \uc0ac\ub78c\uc774 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ube60\ub974\uac8c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\ubc18 \uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815: \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d \ubc0f \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub9c8\uc774\ub2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uacfc\uac70\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc758\uc0ac\uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ubc18\ubcf5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131: \uac19\uc740 \uc870\uac74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ubc18\ubcf5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc77c\uad00\uc131\uc774 \uc720\uc9c0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>1.2 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131<\/h3>\n<p>\uc804\ud1b5\uc801\uc778 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc8fc\ub85c \uaddc\uce59 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc5d0 \uc758\uc874\ud574 \uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\uace0 \ube44\uc120\ud615\uc801\uc778 \ud2b9\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\ubbc0\ub85c, \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc815\uad50\ud558\uace0 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>2. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(Machine Learning) \uae30\ucd08<\/h2>\n<p>\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c\ubd80\ud130 \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\uc5ec \uc608\uce21\ud558\uac70\ub098 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \ubd84\uc57c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc740 \ud06c\uac8c \uac10\ub3c5 \ud559\uc2b5, \ube44\uac10\ub3c5 \ud559\uc2b5, \uac15\ud654 \ud559\uc2b5\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ub269\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>2.1 \uac10\ub3c5 \ud559\uc2b5(Supervised Learning)<\/h3>\n<p>\uac10\ub3c5 \ud559\uc2b5\uc740 \uc785\ub825\uacfc \ucd9c\ub825 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c8 \ub54c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \uc608\uce21\uc774\ub098 \ubd84\ub958 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc790\uc8fc \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc694 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0, \uacb0\uc815 \ud2b8\ub9ac, \uc11c\ud3ec\ud2b8 \ubca1\ud130 \uba38\uc2e0(SVM), \uc2e0\uacbd\ub9dd \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>2.2 \ube44\uac10\ub3c5 \ud559\uc2b5(Unsupervised Learning)<\/h3>\n<p>\ube44\uac10\ub3c5 \ud559\uc2b5\uc740 \ucd9c\ub825 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc785\ub825 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud074\ub7ec\uc2a4\ud130\ub9c1\uacfc \ucc28\uc6d0 \ucd95\uc18c\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uad6c\uc870\ub97c \uc774\ud574\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc744 \uad70\uc9d1\ud654\ud558\uc5ec \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ub3d9\ud5a5\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\ub294 \uadf8\ub8f9\uc744 \ucc3e\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>2.3 \uac15\ud654 \ud559\uc2b5(Reinforcement Learning)<\/h3>\n<p>\uac15\ud654 \ud559\uc2b5\uc740 \uc5d0\uc774\uc804\ud2b8\uac00 \ud658\uacbd\uacfc \uc0c1\ud638\uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \ud589\ub3d9\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uace0 \uc774\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubcf4\uc0c1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>3. \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(Deep Learning) \uae30\ucd08<\/h2>\n<p>\ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uce35\uc758 \uc778\uacf5\uc2e0\uacbd\ub9dd\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ucc98\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ube44\uc120\ud615 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc774\uba70, \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0, \ud14d\uc2a4\ud2b8, \uc74c\uc131 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ud615\ud0dc\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ub2e4\ub8f0 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>3.1 \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \uad6c\uc870<\/h3>\n<p>\ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \uc785\ub825\uce35, \uc740\ub2c9\uce35, \ucd9c\ub825\uce35\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac01 \uce35\uc740 \ub2e4\uc218\uc758 \ub178\ub4dc(\ub274\ub7f0)\ub85c \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc838 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc778\uc811\ud55c \uce35 \uac04\uc758 \uc5f0\uacb0 \uac15\ub3c4\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uac00\uc911\uce58\uac00 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub124\ud2b8\uc6cc\ud06c\ub97c \ud1b5\uacfc\ud560 \ub54c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uac00\uc911\uce58\uac00 \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc5c5\ub370\uc774\ud2b8\ub418\uc5b4 \ucd5c\uc801\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub3c4\ub85d \ud559\uc2b5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>3.2 \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529<\/h3>\n<p>\ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \ud2b9\ud788 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ub3c4\uad6c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uace0\uae09 \uae30\ub2a5 \ucd94\ucd9c \ubc0f \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubbf8\uc138\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uac10\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, \uc774\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ud6a8\uc728\uc801\uc778 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc218\ub9bd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h2>4. \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc640 \ubcc0\ud658<\/h2>\n<p>\uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc218\uc9d1\ub41c \uc77c\ub828\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9, \uac70\ub798\ub7c9, \ud658\uc728 \ub4f1\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \uc608\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131\uc744 \uc774\ud574\ud558\uace0 \ubcc0\ud658\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uc131\uacf5\uc5d0 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>4.1 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc2dc\uac04 \uc758\uc874\uc131: \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc774 \uc9c0\ub098\uba74\uc11c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uac04\uc758 \uc758\uc874\uc131\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\ucd94\uc138: \uac00\uaca9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ucd94\uc138, \ud558\ub77d \ucd94\uc138 \ub4f1\uc744 \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<li>\uacc4\uc808\uc131: \ud2b9\uc815 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\ub294 \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uac00\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>4.2 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubcc0\ud658 \uae30\ubc95<\/h3>\n<p>\uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \uc801\ud569\ud558\uac8c \ubcc0\ud658\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \uae30\ubc95\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h4>4.2.1 \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\uc154\ub108\ub9ac(Stationarity) \uac80\uc0ac<\/h4>\n<p>\ub9ce\uc740 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc740 \uc785\ub825 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\uc154\ub108\ub9ac\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uc694\uad6c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \ud2b9\uc131\uc774 \uc77c\uc815\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \ucc28\ubd84(differencing)\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h4>4.2.2 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c(Technical Indicators)<\/h4>\n<p>\uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uc5ec \ub9e4\ub9e4\uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ub3c4\ucd9c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0, \uc0c1\ub300 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc218(RSI), \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800 \ubc34\ub4dc \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc740 \uc785\ub825 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\uc801\uc778 \ud2b9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \ubcc0\ud658\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>4.3 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc608\uc2dc<\/h3>\n<pre>\nimport pandas as pd\nimport numpy as np\n\n# \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc0dd\uc131\ndates = pd.date_range(start='2022-01-01', periods=100)\nprices = np.random.randn(100).cumsum() + 100  # \uc784\uc758\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \uc0dd\uc131\ndata = pd.DataFrame(data={'Price': prices}, index=dates)\n\n# \ucc28\ubd84\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc2a4\ud14c\uc774\uc154\ub108\ub9ac \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4 \ubcf4\uae30\ndata['Price_diff'] = data['Price'].diff()\ndata.dropna(inplace=True)\n<\/pre>\n<h2>5. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5 \uac1c\ubc1c<\/h2>\n<p>\uc774\uc81c \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\ucd08\ub97c \ub2e4\uc84c\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ud604\ud558\uace0 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud788 \uc218\ud589\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>5.1 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1 \ubc0f \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac<\/h3>\n<p>\uc6b0\uc120 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc218\uc9d1\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uc2dd \uac00\uaca9 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 Yahoo Finance, Alpha Vantage, Quandl \ub4f1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1 \ud6c4, \uacb0\uce21\uce58\ub97c \ucc98\ub9ac\ud558\uace0, \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\ud658\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h4>5.1.1 \uacb0\uce21\uce58 \ucc98\ub9ac<\/h4>\n<p>\uacb0\uce21\uce58\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc5d0 \ud06c\uac8c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \ucc98\ub9ac \ubc29\ubc95\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc81c\uac70, \ud3c9\uade0 \ub300\uccb4, \uc120\ud615 \ubcf4\uac04 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>5.2 \ubaa8\ub378 \uc120\ud0dd \ubc0f \ud6c8\ub828<\/h3>\n<p>\ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc120\ud0dd\uc740 \ubb38\uc81c\uc758 \ud2b9\uc131\uacfc \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc131\uc9c8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2ec\ub77c\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc21c\ud55c \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0\ubd80\ud130 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc120\ud0dd\uc9c0\uac00 \uc874\uc7ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubaa8\ub378 \ud6c8\ub828 \uc2dc\uc5d0\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc77c\ubd80\ub97c \ud6c8\ub828 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c, \ub098\uba38\uc9c0\ub97c \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ub098\ub204\uc5b4\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h4>5.2.1 \ubaa8\ub378 \ud3c9\uac00<\/h4>\n<p>\ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc740 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud3c9\uac00\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud3c9\uade0 \uc81c\uacf1 \uc624\ucc28(MSE), \uacb0\uc815 \uacc4\uc218(R\u00b2) \ub4f1\uc774 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc774\uba70, \uae08\uc735\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728(Sharpe Ratio)\uacfc \uc218\uc775\ub960\ub3c4 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<h3>5.3 \uc2e4\uc81c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uad6c\ucd95<\/h3>\n<p>\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uc2e4\uc81c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ud560 \ub54c\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc811\uadfc\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc911\uac04\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ubc1c\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc720\ud6a8\uc131\uc774 \ubc14\ub014 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<pre>\n# \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uc608\uc2dc\ndef backtest(data, model):\n    predictions = model.predict(data)\n    # \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uacc4\uc0b0 \ub85c\uc9c1...\n    return returns\n<\/pre>\n<h2>6. \uacb0\ub860<\/h2>\n<p>\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc720\uc6a9\ud55c \ub3c4\uad6c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud56d\uc0c1 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \ud55c\uacc4\ub97c \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uace0, \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud669\uc758 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uad6c\ucd95 \ud6c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc778 \ud559\uc2b5\uacfc \uac80\uc99d\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uba70, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud070 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc778 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\ud604\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ub04a\uc784\uc5c6\ub294 \uac1c\uc120\uacfc \uc870\uc815\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ubc88 \uac15\uc88c\uac00 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc774\ud574\ub97c \ub192\uc774\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uae30\ub97c \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc790\ub3d9 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ub294 \ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(ML) \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(DL) \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc815\uad50\ud558\uace0 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc8fc\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29123\/\" class=\"more-link\">\ub354 \ubcf4\uae30<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubcc0\ud658\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-29"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubcc0\ud658\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29123\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubcc0\ud658\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uc790\ub3d9 \ub9e4\ub9e4\ub294 \ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uad6c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc758\uc0ac \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \uc81c\uacf5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788, \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(ML) \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(DL) \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc815\uad50\ud558\uace0 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\uc8fc\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 &hellip; \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 &quot;\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubcc0\ud658\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9&quot;\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29123\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"\ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-27T16:16:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-26T06:54:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"root\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@bebubo4\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@bebubo4\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\uae00\uc4f4\uc774\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"root\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29123\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29123\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"root\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/#\/schema\/person\/91b6b3b138fbba0efb4ae64b1abd81d7\"},\"headline\":\"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubcc0\ud658\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c 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