{"id":29169,"date":"2024-10-27T16:17:07","date_gmt":"2024-10-27T16:17:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/?p=29169"},"modified":"2024-11-26T06:53:53","modified_gmt":"2024-11-26T06:53:53","slug":"%eb%a8%b8%ec%8b%a0%eb%9f%ac%eb%8b%9d-%eb%b0%8f-%eb%94%a5%eb%9f%ac%eb%8b%9d-%ec%95%8c%ea%b3%a0%eb%a6%ac%ec%a6%98-%ed%8a%b8%eb%a0%88%ec%9d%b4%eb%94%a9-%ec%95%84%ec%9b%83%ec%98%a4%eb%b8%8c%eb%b0%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29169\/","title":{"rendered":"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc8fc\uc2dd, \uc678\ud658 \ubc0f \uae30\ud0c0 \uae08\uc735 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \uac70\ub798\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc788\uc5b4 \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\uc220\uc758 \ubc1c\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \ubc29\ubc95\ub860\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uace0, \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uac80\uc99d\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc2ec\ub3c4 \uc788\uac8c \uc124\uba85\ud558\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ucd08<\/h2>\n

1.1 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uc815\uc758<\/h3>\n

\uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ubbf8\ub9ac \uc815\uc758\ub41c \uaddc\uce59\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uc790\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \uac10\uc815\uacfc \uc778\uac04\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub294 \ube44\ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc778 \uc694\uc18c\ub97c \uc81c\uac70\ud558\uace0, \ub354 \ud569\ub9ac\uc801\uc774\uace0 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \ud568\uc591\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

1.2 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \uac1c\uc694<\/h3>\n

\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \uae30\uacc4\uac00 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\ud558\uc5ec \uc608\uce21\uc774\ub098 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uae30\uc220\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \uc2e0\uacbd\ub9dd\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \ud558\uc704 \ubd84\uc57c\ub85c, \ub354 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud558\uace0 \uace0\ucc28\uc6d0\uc801\uc778 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\uc11d\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub450 \uae30\uc220 \ubaa8\ub450 \uae08\uc735 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9ce\uc740 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uac70\ub798 \uc804\ub7b5<\/h2>\n

2.1 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1<\/h3>\n

\uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \ub2e8\uacc4\ub294 \uac70\ub798\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc218\uc9d1\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ub370\uc774\ud130, \uac70\ub798\ub7c9, \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c, \ub274\uc2a4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc815\ubcf4\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ud488\uc9c8\uc740 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc5d0 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc18c\uc2a4\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2.2 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac<\/h3>\n

\uc218\uc9d1\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ubaa8\ub378\uc5d0 \ub9de\ub294 \ud615\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uacf5\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\ub294 \uacb0\uce21\uce58 \ucc98\ub9ac, \uc774\uc0c1\uce58 \uc81c\uac70, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc2a4\ucf00\uc77c\ub9c1 \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc2a4\ucf00\uc77c\ub9c1\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c 0\uacfc 1 \uc0ac\uc774\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \ubaa8\ub378 \ud559\uc2b5\uc758 \ud6a8\uc728\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2.3 \ud2b9\uc9d5 \uc120\ud0dd \ubc0f \ucd94\ucd9c<\/h3>\n

\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc740 \uc120\ud0dd\ub41c \ud2b9\uc9d5(Feature)\uc640 \ubc00\uc811\ud55c \uad00\ub828\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc8fc\uac00 \uc608\uce21\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uace0, \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubaa8\ub378 \ud559\uc2b5\uc5d0 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc785\ub825 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uad6c\uc131\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacf5\ud1b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0, \uc0c1\ub300 \uac15\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc218(RSI), \ubcfc\ub9b0\uc800 \ubc34\ub4dc \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

2.4 \ubaa8\ub378 \uc120\ud0dd<\/h3>\n

\ubaa8\ub378 \uc120\ud0dd\uc740 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc2ec\ud50c\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\ubd80\ud130 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \uc635\uc158\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc120\ud615 \ud68c\uadc0, \uacb0\uc815 \ud2b8\ub9ac, \ub79c\ub364 \ud3ec\ub808\uc2a4\ud2b8, LSTM \ub124\ud2b8\uc6cc\ud06c \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac01 \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ud328\ud134\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc2e4\ud5d8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ucd5c\uc801\uc758 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ucc3e\uc544\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

3. \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8(Out-of-Sample Testing)<\/h2>\n

3.1 \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uc815\uc758<\/h3>\n

\uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \ubc29\ubc95\uc740 \ubaa8\ub378 \ud559\uc2b5\uc5d0 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \uac80\uc99d\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub294 \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc77c\ubc18\ud654\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

3.2 \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uc808\ucc28<\/h3>\n
    \n
  1. \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1: \uacfc\uac70 \uac00\uaca9, \uac70\ub798\ub7c9 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubc0f \uae30\ud0c0 \uad00\ub828 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc218\uc9d1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
  2. \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub098\ub204\uae30: \uc218\uc9d1\ub41c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud6c8\ub828 \uc138\ud2b8\uc640 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc138\ud2b8\ub85c \ub098\ub215\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c 70%\ub294 \ud6c8\ub828\uc6a9, 30%\ub294 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc6a9\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
  3. \ubaa8\ub378 \ud6c8\ub828: \ud6c8\ub828 \uc138\ud2b8\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\uc2dc\ud0b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
  4. \ubaa8\ub378 \ud3c9\uac00: \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc138\ud2b8\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud574 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    3.3 \uc131\ub2a5 \uc9c0\ud45c<\/h3>\n

    \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc131\ub2a5 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4, F1-score, \uc815\ubc00\ub3c4, \uc7ac\ud604\uc728 \ub4f1\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc678\uc5d0\ub3c4, \ud22c\uc790 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728, \ucd5c\ub300 \ub099\ud3ed \ub4f1\uc758 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uace0\ub824\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

    4. \uad6c\ud604 \uc608\uc2dc<\/h2>\n

    4.1 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1 \ubc0f \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac<\/h3>\n
    \nimport pandas as pd\nimport numpy as np\n\n# \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub85c\ub4dc\ndf = pd.read_csv('stock_data.csv')\n\n# \uacb0\uce21\uce58 \uc81c\uac70\ndf.dropna(inplace=True)\n\n# \uc2a4\ucf00\uc77c\ub9c1\nfrom sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler\nscaler = MinMaxScaler()\nscaled_data = scaler.fit_transform(df[['Close']])\n    <\/code><\/pre>\n
    4.2 \ubaa8\ub378 \uad6c\ucd95<\/h3>\n
    \nfrom sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split\nfrom sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier\n\n# \ud2b9\uc9d5 \uc120\ud0dd \ubc0f \ud6c8\ub828\/\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc138\ud2b8 \ub098\ub204\uae30\nfeatures = df[['Volume', 'Open', 'High', 'Low']]\ntarget = df['Close'].shift(-1) > df['Close']\nX_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(features, target, test_size=0.3, random_state=42)\n\n# \ubaa8\ub378 \ud6c8\ub828\nmodel = RandomForestClassifier()\nmodel.fit(X_train, y_train)\n    <\/code><\/pre>\n
    4.3 \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc218\ud589<\/h3>\n
    \nfrom sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score\n\n# \uc608\uce21 \uc218\ud589\npredictions = model.predict(X_test)\n\n# \uc815\ud655\ub3c4 \ud3c9\uac00\naccuracy = accuracy_score(y_test, predictions)\nprint(f'\ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4: {accuracy:.2f}')\n    <\/code><\/pre>\n
    5. \uacb0\ub860<\/h2>\n
    \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 \uac1c\ub150\uacfc \uc544\uc6c3\uc624\ube0c\ubc31 \ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8\uc758 \uc911\uc694\uc131\uc744 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc911\uc2ec\uc758 \uc811\uadfc\ubc95\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \ud22c\uc790 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub3c4\ucd9c\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \ub3c4\uad6c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \uc815\ud655\ud788 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc778 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud544\uc218\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc29\ubc95\ub860\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud558\uace0, \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uac70\ub450\uae38 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
    <\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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