MA(q):<\/strong> \uc774\ub3d9 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubd80\ubd84\uc73c\ub85c, q\uac1c\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \uc624\ucc28 \ud56d\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ud604\uc7ac \uac12\uc744 \uc608\uce21.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n ARIMA \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uba3c\uc800 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc815\uc0c1\uc131(stationarity)\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud574\uc57c \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\n \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc815\uc0c1\uc131\uc740 ACF(Autocorrelation Function) \ubc0f PACF(Partial Autocorrelation Function) \uadf8\ub798\ud504\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud655\uc778\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
import pandas as pd\nimport numpy as np\nfrom statsmodels.tsa.arima.model import ARIMA\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\n\n# \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd88\ub7ec\uc624\uae30\ndata = pd.read_csv('financial_data.csv')\nts = data['price']\n\n# \ubaa8\ub378 \uc801\ud569\nmodel = ARIMA(ts, order=(p, d, q))\nmodel_fit = model.fit()\n\n# \uc608\uce21\nforecast = model_fit.forecast(steps=10)\nprint(forecast)<\/code><\/pre>\n3.2 LSTM \ubaa8\ub378<\/h3>\n
\n LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \uc21c\ud658 \uc2e0\uacbd\ub9dd(RNN) \uad6c\uc870\uc758 \uc77c\uc885\uc73c\ub85c,
\n \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ucc98\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. LSTM\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30 \uc758\uc874\uc131 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574
\n \uc124\uacc4\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac1c\uc758 \uac8c\uc774\ud2b8\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uae30\uc5b5\ud558\uace0 \uc78a\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \uc870\uc808\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
import numpy as np\nimport pandas as pd\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\nfrom keras.models import Sequential\nfrom keras.layers import LSTM, Dense\n\n# \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac\ndata = pd.read_csv('financial_data.csv')\ndata = data['price'].values\ndata = data.reshape(-1, 1)\n\n# LSTM \ubaa8\ub378 \uad6c\ucd95\nmodel = Sequential()\nmodel.add(LSTM(50, return_sequences=True, input_shape=(timesteps, 1)))\nmodel.add(LSTM(50, return_sequences=False))\nmodel.add(Dense(1))\nmodel.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mean_squared_error')\n\n# \ubaa8\ub378 \ud559\uc2b5\nmodel.fit(X_train, y_train, epochs=50, batch_size=32)<\/code><\/pre>\n<\/div>\n\n
4. \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uad6c\ucd95<\/h2>\n
\n \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \ub2e8\uacc4\ub85c \uc774\ub8e8\uc5b4\uc9d1\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
\n- 1\ub2e8\uacc4: \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1<\/strong> – \uae08\uc735 \ub370\uc774\ud130 API\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc218\uc9d1\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- 2\ub2e8\uacc4: \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac<\/strong> – \uacb0\uce21\uce58 \ucc98\ub9ac, \uc815\uaddc\ud654 \ub4f1\uc758 \uc791\uc5c5\uc744 \uc2e4\uc2dc\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- 3\ub2e8\uacc4: \ubaa8\ub378 \uc120\ud0dd \ubc0f \ud6c8\ub828<\/strong> – ARIMA \ub610\ub294 LSTM \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\uace0 \ud6c8\ub828\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- 4\ub2e8\uacc4: \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5 \uac1c\ubc1c<\/strong> – \uc608\uce21 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ub9e4\uc218\/\ub9e4\ub3c4 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \ub0b4\ub9ac\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- 5\ub2e8\uacc4: \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uc2e4\uc2dc<\/strong> – \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub85c \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \uac80\uc99d\ud558\uace0 \uac1c\uc120\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n
- 6\ub2e8\uacc4: \uc2e4\uc2dc\uac04 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529<\/strong> – \uc2e4\uc2dc\uac04\uc73c\ub85c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubc1b\uc544 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc790\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n
\n
5. \uacb0\ub860<\/h2>\n
\n \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \ud604\ub300 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc810\uc810 \ub354 \uc911\uc694\ud574\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\n \uc774\ubc88 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc124\uba85\ud55c \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1 \uae30\ubc95\uc740 \uae08\uc735 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \uac1c\uc120\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud6a8\uacfc\uc801\uc778 \ub3c4\uad6c\uac00 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.
\n \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c \uc801\uc6a9 \uc2dc \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uad00\ub9ac \ubc0f \uc131\ub2a5 \uac80\uc99d\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\uba70, \uc774\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e0\ub8b0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n<\/div>\n
<\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
1. \uc11c\ub860 \ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub144\uac04 \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(ML)\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(DL) \uae30\uc220\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc774 \ud070 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc220\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc790\uc138\ud558\uac8c \uc124\uba85\ud558\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uce21\uc815\ub41c \ub2e8\uc77c \ubcc0\uc218\uc758 \uac12\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc758 \uac00\uaca9, \ud658\uc728, \ub610\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uc218\uc694\ub7c9 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc774\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 “\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-29"],"yoast_head":"\n\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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\uc124\uba85\ud558\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \uce21\uc815\ub41c \ub2e8\uc77c \ubcc0\uc218\uc758 \uac12\uc73c\ub85c \uad6c\uc131\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc8fc\uc2dd\uc758 \uac00\uaca9, \ud658\uc728, \ub610\ub294 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc0c1\ud488\uc758 \uc218\uc694\ub7c9 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc774\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba74 … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 "\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29249\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"\ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-27T16:17:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" 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\uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-27T16:17:30+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-26T06:53:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29249\/\"},\"wordCount\":47,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/#organization\"},\"articleSection\":[\"\ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc790\ub3d9 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\"],\"inLanguage\":\"ko-KR\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29249\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29249\/\",\"name\":\"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \uc77c\ubcc0\ub7c9 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ubaa8\ub378 - 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