\ubaa8\ub378 \uc120\ud0dd<\/strong>: \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc801\uc808\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n2.2 \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud305<\/h3>\n
\uac1c\ubc1c\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uacfc\uac70 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc31\ud14c\uc2a4\ud305\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc804\ub7b5\uc758 \uc720\ud6a8\uc131\uc744 \ud310\ub2e8\ud558\uace0, \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2e0\ud638\uc758 \uc815\ud655\uc131\uacfc \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
3. \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc131\uacfc \uce21\uc815 \ubc29\ubc95<\/h2>\n
\uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc5d0\uc11c \uc131\uacfc \uce21\uc815\uc740 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub2e4\uc74c\uc758 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
3.1 \uc218\uc775\ub960 (Return)<\/h3>\n
\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc740 \ud22c\uc790 \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548\uc758 \uc804\uccb4 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ubcf4\ud1b5 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uacc4\uc0b0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4:<\/p>\n
\uc218\uc775\ub960 = (\ucd5c\uc885 \uac00\uce58 - \ucd08\uae30 \uac00\uce58) \/ \ucd08\uae30 \uac00\uce58<\/code><\/pre>\n3.2 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 (Volatility)<\/h3>\n
\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc131\uacfc \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub192\uc740 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \ub192\uc740 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc740 \uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud45c\uc900\ud3b8\ucc28\ub85c \uacc4\uc0b0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131 = \ud45c\uc900\ud3b8\ucc28(\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc218\uc775\ub960)<\/code><\/pre>\n3.3 \uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728 (Sharpe Ratio)<\/h3>\n
\uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728\uc740 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc870\uc815 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \uacc4\uc0b0\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4:<\/p>\n
\uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728 = (\ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uc218\uc775\ub960 - \ubb34\uc704\ud5d8 \uc218\uc775\ub960) \/ \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131<\/code><\/pre>\n\ub192\uc740 \uc0e4\ud504 \ube44\uc728\uc740 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uc758\ubbf8\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
3.4 \ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4 (Maximum Drawdown)<\/h3>\n
\ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4\uc740 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ucd5c\ub300 \ud558\ub77d\ud3ed\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc774\ud574\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\ucd5c\ub300 \uc190\uc2e4 = \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uace0 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uc800 \uac00\uce58\uae4c\uc9c0\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\ud3ed<\/code><\/pre>\n3.5 \uc54c\ud30c (Alpha)\uc640 \ubca0\ud0c0 (Beta)<\/h4>\n
\uc54c\ud30c\ub294 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \ucd08\uacfc \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uace0, \ubca0\ud0c0\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\ub97c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc54c\ud30c\uac00 \uc591\uc218\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc2dc\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub098\uc740 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529<\/h2>\n
\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc740 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uc790\ub3d9\ud654\ud558\uace0 \ud5a5\uc0c1\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \ub370 \ub9ce\uc740 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc744 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc139\uc158\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc811\uadfc \ubc29\uc2dd\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4.1 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc14b<\/h3>\n
\uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ud68c\uc0ac \uc7ac\ubb34 \ub370\uc774\ud130, \ub274\uc2a4 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub4f1\uc758 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ud615\ud0dc\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc14b\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uac01 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0 \ub9de\uac8c \uc801\uc808\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc14b\uc744 \uc120\ud0dd\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc911\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
4.2 \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uad6c\ucd95<\/h3>\n
\uc218\uc9d1\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uace0 \ud559\uc2b5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, LSTM\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \uc2dc\uac04 \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0\uc11c \ud328\ud134\uc744 \ud559\uc2b5\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc544\ub798\ub294 LSTM \ubaa8\ub378 \uad6c\ucd95\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uae30\ubcf8 \ud15c\ud50c\ub9bf\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
from keras.models import Sequential\nfrom keras.layers import LSTM, Dense\n\nmodel = Sequential()\nmodel.add(LSTM(50, return_sequences=True, input_shape=(timesteps, features)))\nmodel.add(LSTM(50))\nmodel.add(Dense(1))\nmodel.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mean_squared_error')<\/code><\/pre>\n4.3 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2e0\ud638 \uc0dd\uc131<\/h3>\n
\ud559\uc2b5\ub41c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uac12\uc774 \ud2b9\uc815 \uc784\uacc4\uce58\ub97c \ucd08\uacfc\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9e4\uc218 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \ubc1c\uc0dd\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0, \ubbf8\ub9cc\uc77c \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
5. \uacb0\ub860<\/h2>\n
\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc740 \uc5c4\uccad\ub09c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \ucca0\uc800\ud55c \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\uc11d\uacfc \uc131\uacfc \uce21\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uc815\ub7c9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uace0, \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\uc801\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \uae08\uc735 \ud658\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc220\ub4e4\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc740 \ub354\uc6b1 \ud655\ub300\ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uadf8 \ud61c\ud0dd\uc744 \ub204\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\uac8c \ub420 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
\uc774 \uac15\uc88c\uac00 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\uc758 \uae30\ucd08\ub97c \uc774\ud574\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uae30\ub97c \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \ubd80\ub2e8\ud55c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc640 \uc2e4\ud5d8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc815\uad50\ud55c \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uac1c\ubc1c\ud558\uc2dc\uae38 \ubc14\ub78d\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n
<\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(ML)\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(DL)\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc220\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0, \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uba70, \uc790\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uba70, \ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uac00 \uc774 \uae30\uc220\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0\uc790 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uacfc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 “\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-29"],"yoast_head":"\n\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/atmokpo.com\/w\/29461\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ko_KR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95 - \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"\ucd5c\uadfc \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd(ML)\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd(DL)\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc99d\uac00\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uae30\uc220\ub4e4\uc740 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0, \ud328\ud134\uc744 \uc778\uc2dd\ud558\uba70, \uc790\ub3d9\uc73c\ub85c \uac70\ub798\ub97c \uc2e4\ud589\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uba70, \ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc640 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub354\uac00 \uc774 \uae30\uc220\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc744 \ub192\uc774\uace0\uc790 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uae00\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc18\uc758 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uacfc \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uaca0\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1. \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc758 \uae30\ubcf8 … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 "\uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \ubc0f \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95"\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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