\uc21c\ud658 \uc2e0\uacbd\ub9dd(Recurrent Neural Network, RNN)<\/strong>: \uc2dc\uacc4\uc5f4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc801\ud569\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\ub85c, \uc774\uc804\uc758 \uc815\ubcf4\ub97c \uba54\ubaa8\ub9ac\uc5d0 \uc800\uc7a5\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\ub798 \uc608\uce21\uc5d0 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n3. \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654<\/h2>\n
\n \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc790\uc0b0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790 \ube44\uc728\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud558\uace0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uacfc\uc815\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ucd5c\uc801\ud654 \ubb38\uc81c\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \ud070 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
3.1 \ud604\ub300 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc774\ub860<\/h3>\n
\n \ud604\ub300 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc774\ub860(Modern Portfolio Theory, MPT)\uc740 \ud574\ub9ac \ub9c8\ucf54\uc704\uce20(Harry Markowitz)\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uac1c\ubc1c\ub41c \uc774\ub860\uc73c\ub85c, \uae30\ub300 \uc218\uc775\ub960, \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131, \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\uc0b0 \ubc30\ubd84\uc744 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654\ud558\ub824\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. MPT\uc758 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub294 \uc8fc\uc5b4\uc9c4 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \ucd5c\uc801\uc758 \uc218\uc775\ub960\uc744 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\ub294 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \uad6c\uc131\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
3.2 \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654<\/h3>\n
\n \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud55c \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654 \uacfc\uc815\uc740 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc218\uc9d1, \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc804\ucc98\ub9ac, \ubaa8\ub378 \uc120\ud0dd\uacfc \ud6c8\ub828, \uacb0\uacfc \ud3c9\uac00\uc758 \uc21c\uc11c\ub85c \uc9c4\ud589\ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
4. \uc608\uc81c \ucf54\ub4dc<\/h2>\n
\n \ub2e4\uc74c\uc740 \ud30c\uc774\uc36c\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654\ub97c \uc218\ud589\ud558\ub294 \uac04\ub2e8\ud55c \ucf54\ub4dc \uc608\uc81c\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.\n <\/p>\n
\n# \ud544\uc694\ud55c \ub77c\uc774\ube0c\ub7ec\ub9ac \uc784\ud3ec\ud2b8\nimport numpy as np\nimport pandas as pd\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\nimport yfinance as yf\nfrom scipy.optimize import minimize\n\n# \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc790\uc0b0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\ncryptos = ['BTC-USD', 'ETH-USD', 'XRP-USD', 'LTC-USD', 'BCH-USD']\n\n# \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ub2e4\uc6b4\ub85c\ub4dc\ndata = yf.download(cryptos, start='2020-01-01', end='2023-01-01')['Adj Close']\n\n# \ub85c\uadf8 \uc218\uc775\ub960 \uacc4\uc0b0\nreturns = np.log(data \/ data.shift(1))\n\n# \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uc131\uacfc \ud568\uc218 \uc815\uc758\ndef portfolio_performance(weights):\n mean_return = np.sum(returns.mean() * weights) * 252\n portfolio_volatility = np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(returns.cov() * 252, weights)))\n return portfolio_volatility, mean_return\n\n# \ubaa9\uc801 \ud568\uc218 \uc815\uc758\ndef min_fun(weights):\n return portfolio_performance(weights)[0] # \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654\n\n# \uc81c\uc57d \uc870\uac74\uacfc \uacbd\uacc4 \uc124\uc815\nconstraints = ({'type': 'eq', 'fun': lambda x: np.sum(x) - 1})\nbounds = tuple((0, 1) for asset in range(len(cryptos)))\n\n# \ucd08\uae30 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ninitial_weights = [1. \/ len(cryptos)] * len(cryptos)\n\n# \ucd5c\uc18c\ud654 \uc2e4\ud589\noptimal_weights = minimize(min_fun, initial_weights, method='SLSQP', bounds=bounds, constraints=constraints)\n\n# \ucd5c\uc801 \uac00\uc911\uce58 \ucd9c\ub825\nprint(\"\ucd5c\uc801 \uac00\uc911\uce58: \", optimal_weights.x)\nprint(\"\ucd5c\ub300 \uae30\ub300 \uc218\uc775\ub960: \", portfolio_performance(optimal_weights.x)[1])\nprint(\"\ucd5c\uc18c \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131: \", portfolio_performance(optimal_weights.x)[0])\n <\/code><\/pre>\n<\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\ucd5c\uadfc \uba87 \ub144\uac04 \uae08\uc735\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \ubd84\uc11d\uacfc \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uadf8 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub9ce\uc740 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c \ud765\ubbf8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uac15\uc88c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd \uae30\ubc95\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0\uc758 \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uacfc \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998\uc744 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uad6c\ud604\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ub2e4\ub8f9\ub2c8\ub2e4. 1. \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uac1c\ub150 \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774\ub780 \ucef4\ud4e8\ud130 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub9e4\ub9e4 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud558\uace0 \uc774\ub97c \ud1a0\ub300\ub85c … \ub354 \ubcf4\uae30 “\ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2e4\uc218\uc758 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\uc801\uc758 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uad6c\uc131.”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31413","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-29"],"yoast_head":"\n\ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uacfc \uba38\uc2e0\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c \uc790\ub3d9\ub9e4\ub9e4, \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \ucd5c\uc801\ud654 \uc54c\uace0\ub9ac\uc998 \ub525\ub7ec\ub2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub2e4\uc218\uc758 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc790\uc0b0\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ucd5c\uc801\uc758 \ud3ec\ud2b8\ud3f4\ub9ac\uc624 \uad6c\uc131. - 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